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All U.S. Episodes
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For Australian episodes, please visit this page instead.
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QAV Weekly Update 2026-01-15
Portfolio updates, myth killer, buy lists, and last week’s episode notes.
QAV America Light Update #4
Happy Monday,...
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2026-01-10
Happy Stockmarket....
Picking Through the Wreckage of XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) – QAV AMERICA 34
In the first QAV America episode of 2026, Cameron and Tony reset the framework for the year ahead. With geopolitical shocks rattling oil markets, bullish Wall Street forecasts predicting another US equity rally, and political noise everywhere, the hosts reiterate the core QAV philosophy: ignore predictions, stick to the rules, and let disciplined process do the work. The episode’s deep dive focuses on XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR), a former income darling left for dead after cutting its dividend. Cameron unpacks the wreckage, tracing XIFR’s origins as a NextEra Energy yieldco, the collapse of its “cheap capital forever” model when interest rates rose, and why the market may now be pricing the stock as if its long-dated contracted cash flows don’t exist. The discussion weighs political risk, debt complexity, asset quality, and valuation extremes, before explaining why XIFR sits at the top of the current US QAV buy list and is being added to the live QAV Light portfolio.
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Timestamps & Topics (QAV episode)
00:00 – 03:00
Geopolitics, crude oil volatility, and why QAV tracks commodities as signals rather than predictions.
03:00 – 06:30
Wall Street forecasts for a 2026 rally. Why QAV ignores predictions and doubles down on rules-based discipline.
06:30 – 09:00
“Year of sticking to the rules.” Behavioural discipline as the real edge in investing.
09:00 – 11:00
Introducing the deep dive stock: XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) and why it tops the US buy list.
11:00 – 16:30
XIFR’s origin story as a NextEra Energy yieldco. The “infinite money glitch” and how cheap capital powered growth.
16:30 – 21:30
What broke: rising interest rates, dividend suspension, investor revolt, and the stock price collapse.
21:30 – 26:30
Business model breakdown. Long-dated power purchase agreements, wind and solar assets, and why the cash flows didn’t disappear.
26:30 – 30:30
Trump, renewables, and political risk. Why sentiment may be a headwind but revenues are largely locked in.
30:30 – 34:30
Balance sheet repair. Asset sales, debt reduction, and why no dividend can be good news for value investors.
34:30 – 39:30
Key valuation metrics: price to operating cash flow, book value discount, dilution history, and QAV checklist scores.
39:30 – 42:30
Red flags and risks: complex financing, management execution, and why the stock still qualifies under QAV rules.
42:30 – 45:00
Portfolio update, recent performance versus the S&P 500, and adding XIFR to the QAV Light portfolio.
QAV Weekly Update 2026-01-09
Portfolio updates, myth killer, buy lists, and last week’s episode notes.
QAV America Light Update #3
Happy Wednesday,...
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2026-01-03
Happy Stockmarket....
QAV Weekly Update 2026-01-02
Portfolio updates, myth killer, buy lists, and last week’s episode notes.
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-12-28
Happy Stockmarket....
The Walking Dead Investment: AMC Networks – QAV AMERICA #33
In the final QAV America episode of 2025, Cameron and Tony reflect on a turbulent but revealing year for markets, value investing, and the QAV system. The conversation opens with a recap of US market conditions and the launch of QAV Light US, designed to give American listeners a live, transparent way to learn the QAV process through real weekly trades. Cameron then reviews the long-term performance of the US dummy portfolio, highlighting strong multi-year outperformance despite a difficult 2025 relative to the S&P 500.
The episode’s deep dive focuses on AMC Networks (AMCX)—a former prestige-TV powerhouse now trading at distressed valuations. The discussion traces AMC’s origins in the Dolan family’s cable empire, its golden era producing Mad Men, Breaking Bad, and The Walking Dead, and the brutal impact of cord-cutting on its business model. Cameron and Tony unpack why AMC is bleeding on earnings but still generating real cash, why the market hates it, and why it nonetheless tops the QAV buy list.
The episode closes with a broader discussion of cycles in investing, the importance of selling discipline, Tony’s emerging “Growth over PE” insight from Australian markets, and why patience with a rules-based system matters more than short-term performance.
QAV America Light Update #2
Happy Monday,...
QAV America Light Update #1
Today we're kicking...
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-12-19
Happy Stockmarket....
Ziff Davis: The Internet’s Invisible Toll Booth – QAV America #32
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony open with reflections on the tragic Bondi attack and Australia’s long-standing gun laws before turning to the week’s U.S. stock market action. They discuss recent market jitters, AI-driven volatility in tech stocks, and the ongoing rotation into “value” names. Cameron then delivers a deep dive on Ziff Davis (ZD) — a little-known but highly profitable owner of the internet’s comparison-shopping and review infrastructure. The conversation explores ZD’s long history, its reinvention after the dot-com crash, its heavy reliance on SEO and affiliate monetisation, and the existential question hanging over the business: will AI replace human-driven product reviews? Rather than forecasting the future, the episode frames ZD through the QAV lens — cash flow, valuation, optionality, and downside protection — and examines why a business that looks structurally threatened may still offer attractive value today.
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-12-15
Happy Stockmarket....
QAV Weekly Update 2025-12-19
Portfolio updates, myth killer, buy list, and last week’s episode notes.
Vale – The World’s Largest Iron Ore Producer – QAV America #31
In this episode, Cam and Tony dig into the strange, noisy twilight zone of the current US market: rate-cut expectations, mega-cap fatigue, and a broadening rally that’s finally throwing some love toward the small and mid-caps that QAV thrives on. They walk through the performance of the US portfolio, poke at the rotation narrative, and then Cam takes everyone deep into the iron-ore jungles of Brazil with a pulled-pork deep dive on Vale — “the FMG of Brazil”, complete with dam failures, lawsuits, ESG fallout, and fat cashflows. Along the way they contrast Brazil vs Australia, FMG vs Vale, talk iron ore cycles, passive-investing distortions, and the macro-agnostic stubbornness that keeps QAV on the rails. It’s part markets, part commodity history lesson, and part true-crime mining documentary.
QAV Weekly Update 2025-12-11
Portfolio updates, myth killer, buy list, and last week’s episode notes.
Leasing the Sky: AER – QAV America #30 (fixed)
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony take a tour through the strange split-brain mood of the US markets, where weak economic data is somehow bullish because investors are convinced the Fed will cut rates in December. They break down the odd macro setup, check in on the portfolio, and walk through fresh results from star performer **Willis Lease Finance (WLFC)** and a big buyback from **Enova (ENVA)**. From there, Cameron recaps the performance of the 27 US stocks they’ve analysed this year, before diving into a full deep-dive on **AerCap (AER)** — the world’s largest aircraft lessor. The conversation covers why airlines lease instead of own, how aircraft leasing actually works, why Ireland is the global nexus for the industry, the wild origin story of Guinness Peat Aviation, and the massive headache AerCap faced when Russia and Ukraine seized more than 150 of its aircraft in 2022. They wrap with QAV scoring, book-value checks, revenue and profit trends, and a broader conversation about how the leasing model fits into cyclical markets, AI, mobility, and long-term capital allocation. Everything from the Fed to kung-fu neural adaptation shows up along the way.
QAV Weekly Update 2025-12-05
Hi folks Here's my...
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-12-01
Happy Stockmarket....
KEP: Korea’s Cash-Gushing Nuclear Giant – QAV America #29
This week we dive into Korea Electric Power (KEP), a deep-value, government-linked Korean utility that has quietly swung from crisis-level losses to massive operating cash flow. We explore the company’s unusual history stretching back to a royal electrification project in the 1890s, its modern political entanglement with tariff controls, its nuclear-heavy energy mix, and why the market may be mispricing a regulated monopoly with a price-to-operating-cash-flow ratio of 1.5. We also cover the recent sell of VSAT on a 3PTL rule, the psychology of Reddit outrage at PCG, and the broader role utilities play in an AI-powered future where electricity becomes the new picks and shovels.
PCG – PG&E: Leading With Love – QAV America #28
This episode dives into Pacific Gas & Electric (NYSE: PCG) and its strange mix of monopoly power, criminal convictions, billions in liabilities, climate exposure, and a CEO who says she’s “leading with love.” Cameron takes us through PG&E’s century-old origins, deadly infrastructure failures like the Camp Fire manslaughter convictions, the bizarre history of repeat explosions and corruption, and the unusual financial structure that keeps the company alive despite $58B in debt. Tony questions whether a guaranteed utility should even be privately owned, compares it to safer options like Berkshire Hathaway’s utilities, and wonders why we’d touch a business known for burning down half a state. Despite the horrors, PG&E lands on the QAV buy list due to cheap cashflow valuation, a protected regulated monopoly, and a massive turnaround driven by mandated wildfire-prevention spending and government-backed debt.
MODG (Topgolf Callaway Brands) – QAV America #27
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony dig into the state of the U.S. market, exploring how AI investment is distorting capital flows, weakening job markets, and reshaping traditional sectors. They discuss how “the Great Freeze” in hiring and the surge in data-centre spending are reshaping the economy. Then Cameron serves up a Pulled Pork deep dive on MODG (Topgolf Callaway Brands)—a company blending golf, entertainment, and retail that’s now splitting itself apart to “unlock value.” Tony reflects on golf’s pandemic-era revival, the engineering of the Big Bertha, and why Callaway’s merger with Topgolf sent its share price into the rough. They unpack tariffs, impairments, and the business logic behind spinning off Topgolf, ending with a lively riff on humanoid robots, golf robots, and even robot jockeys.
The Difference Between Price and Value
Flying on Points: American Airlines (AAL) – QAV America #26
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony dive into a deep analysis of American Airlines (AAL) — exploring its towering debt, its loyalty program goldmine, and its future prospects. They unpack how AAL’s Advantage points system, underpinned by a major new 10-year co-branded card deal with Citi, might serve as both ballast and buoy for a company flying through turbulence. Along the way, they riff on the airline industry’s cyclic nature, the debt-leverage paradox, and the Piotroski F-Score quirks that make AAL intriguing. Climate change, loyalty economics, Pratt & Whitney’s cursed engines, and the Buffett-era lessons on airline KPIs all make an appearance. After the financial deep-dive, the conversation drifts into lighter territory—Scorsese films, Gravity’s Rainbow, and Cameron’s bruising Kung Fu grading.
Keep CALM and Trade On – QAV America #25
In this episode of *QAV America* (Ep. 25), Cameron and Tony unpack a wild few weeks in the U.S. markets following Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats on China and the subsequent “birthday crash.” They discuss Australia’s surprising role in rare earths, portfolio moves including DAC and GTN, and new additions VSAT and RNR. The main feature is a deep dive into Cal-Maine Foods (ticker: CALM), America’s largest egg producer, exploring its scandal-ridden history, DOJ investigations, and surprising fundamentals. From “egg cartels” to F-scores, the duo balance analysis and absurdity, topping it off with film talk (Scorsese, Lynch) and kung fu bruises.
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-10-20
Happy Stockmarket....
QAV America 24 – The Beauty of Boring: American Axle (AXL)
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony review the US portfolio’s performance in 2025, which—despite lagging this year—is still well ahead of the S&P 500 since inception. They reflect on past stock picks, showing a mixed bag of winners and losers, before diving into this week’s “Pulled Pork”: Community Health Systems (NYSE: CYH). The discussion ranges from the messiness of America’s healthcare system to the company’s staggering debt load, CEO transition, scandals, and surprisingly strong cashflow. They weigh the risks (reimbursement uncertainty, capital raises, softening acuity mix) against the opportunities (deep undervaluation, strong operating cash generation, potential turnaround with new leadership). Along the way, they also touch on cultural differences in healthcare, Reddit debates about value investing, and how profit is often a “management decision,” while cashflow is the truer measure of resilience.
QAV America 23 – For-Profit Healthcare: CYH
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony review the US portfolio’s performance in 2025, which—despite lagging this year—is still well ahead of the S&P 500 since inception. They reflect on past stock picks, showing a mixed bag of winners and losers, before diving into this week’s “Pulled Pork”: Community Health Systems (NYSE: CYH). The discussion ranges from the messiness of America’s healthcare system to the company’s staggering debt load, CEO transition, scandals, and surprisingly strong cashflow. They weigh the risks (reimbursement uncertainty, capital raises, softening acuity mix) against the opportunities (deep undervaluation, strong operating cash generation, potential turnaround with new leadership). Along the way, they also touch on cultural differences in healthcare, Reddit debates about value investing, and how profit is often a “management decision,” while cashflow is the truer measure of resilience.
QAV America Pulled Pork Performance as of 2025-10-03
In each episode of...
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-08-26
Happy Stockmarket....
QAV America 21 – MEOH: Diving Deep into the Methanol Market
We discuss the latest U.S. economic slowdown, then pivot to a detailed portfolio update (US portfolio vs S&P 500). After a rapid recap of recent stock picks — from ZEPP to ZIM — we dive into a comprehensive analysis of Methanex (MEOH): its global footprint, methanol market dynamics, e-methanol shipping prospects, the Geismar 3 outage governance risk, and key valuation metrics.
QAV America 20 – From Fluff Pulp to Fortune: SUZ
In this episode, Cameron and Tony dive into the turbulent world of tariffs, the performance of the QAV US portfolio, and Cameron’s “Pulled Pork” deep dive on Brazilian pulp and paper giant Suzano (SUZ). The discussion ranges from Trump’s tariffs being declared illegal, to the surprising success of companies like Zep (the smartwatch maker), Gray Media, and others. Cameron traces Suzano’s roots back to its immigrant founder, explores its dominance in eucalyptus pulp production, highlights both its financial strengths and ESG controversies, and weighs up risks like Brazil’s economic volatility and cyclical pulp prices. It’s a mix of global politics, investing fundamentals, and a surprising education in “fluff pulp.”
QAV America 19 – From Pianos to Profits (KE)
In this episode, Cameron and Tony dive deep into the US market’s latest moves following Jerome Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole, the surprising resilience of investor sentiment, and a look at how the QAV US portfolio continues to beat the S&P 500. They track the extraordinary rise of ZEPP (up 1,200% since Cameron’s July deep dive) and review other stocks they’ve covered, from Titan Machinery to Sasol. Cameron then takes us through a fascinating pulled pork on Kimball Electronics (KE), tracing its history from pianos and pipe organs to becoming a global contract electronics manufacturer. Along the way, Tony and Cameron unpack value investing lessons, the quirks of US versus Australian markets, and finish with a colourful chat about The Who, Leonard Cohen, Rip Torn, and China’s unique economic model.
QAV America 18 – Tractors and Ten-Baggers (TITN)
In this episode of QAV America, Cam and Tony dig into the latest market moves, starting with the chaos in gold prices caused by unexpected US tariffs on Swiss gold imports. Cam reports on the strong performance of the QAV US portfolio—up nearly 64% since inception—highlighting big winners like ZEPP (+964% in a month), CX, IHS, and Orix. They cover portfolio changes, including selling OPHC and adding Jackson Financial (JXN), and discuss broader US economic news, including tariff extensions, inflation concerns, and Fed rate expectations. The centrepiece of the episode is Cam’s deep dive (“Pulled Pork”) on Titan Machinery (TITN), one of the largest US agricultural and construction equipment dealers. He breaks down the company’s history, revenue mix, recent financial challenges caused by the US farming downturn, and why it still scores well under the QAV system. After the investing talk, the “After Hours” segment touches on classic films, new TV shows, and even the Rumble in the Jungle.
QAV Value Investing Buy List 2025-08-11
Happy Stockmarket....
QAV America 17 – Gray Gold: Finding Value in America’s Forgotten TV Empire (GTN)
In Episode 17 of QAV America, Cameron and Tony dive deep into the murky waters of the US media landscape with a pulled pork on Gray Television (GTN) — a classic “cigar butt” Berkshire-style stock that’s generating mountains of cash, trading at absurdly cheap levels, and doubling down on local television and film production while Wall Street yawns. They dissect Gray’s sprawling empire of local stations, film studios, and sports networks, and discuss how its political ad revenue, cash flow, and real estate assets might be wildly mispriced. It’s old media, new math, and some good old-fashioned cynicism.
QAV America 16 – Seneca Foods – A Classic Value Buy
In this episode of QAV America, Australian value investors Tony and Cam are focusing on Seneca Foods, a classic American company known for its packaged fruits and vegetables. They discuss Seneca’s financial performance, history, and why it’s a compelling value stock despite being considered a boring business. The hosts also reflect on other stocks they have reviewed recently, showing significant gains, and emphasize the ongoing potential to find undervalued stocks in the US market. The podcast aims to apply value investing principles to identify promising investment opportunities.
QAV America – Portfolio Update
I had to sell our...
QAV America 15 – BHC – Dirty Drugs, Deeper Discount
This week on QAV America, Cameron delivers a doozy of a pulled pork on Bausch Health Companies (BHC), the scandal-riddled pharma beast formerly known as Valeant. From jacking drug prices to a multi-billion dollar loss for Bill Ackman, this company has a backstory filthier than a New Jersey motel carpet. But does all that stink mean it’s a value investor’s dream? We break down the history, the cashflow, the debt, and whether BHC’s rebrand is enough to justify a second look — or if it’s just lipstick on a particularly greasy pig.
QAV America 14 – Sasol: The Value of Dirty Money
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron dives deep into the murky, combustible world of Sasol (NYSE: SSL), a South African company built on the back of coal liquefaction technology born in Nazi Germany and refined under apartheid. It’s the kind of “anti-woke” fossil fuel juggernaut value investors might love—or love to hate. With Tony chiming in, they explore Sasol’s origins, tech, environmental baggage (they’re the world’s largest single emitter of CO₂), explosive safety record, and its appeal as a classic ugly-duckling value stock. They also tackle the ethics of ESG investing, ADR headaches, and Sasol’s brutal-but-effective cash-generating machinery.
QAV America 13 – Smartwatches, Smart Valuation
In this episode of _QAV America_, Cam and Tony dissect the fundamentals of **Zepp Health (ZEPP)**, a Chinese smartwatch manufacturer with aspirations well beyond step counters. They unpack the company’s evolution from low-margin Xiaomi contractor to an ambitious, vertically-integrated brand aiming to take on Apple — at a fraction of the cost. Cam walks through the business model, leadership, geopolitical hedging via a Netherlands HQ, and a potential future in AI-powered wearables. Despite being unprofitable, Zepp boasts positive operating cash flow, aggressive R&D spend, and a book value nearly five times its share price. Tony and Cam debate its merits as a deep value tech stock in a crowded, commodified market — with a few detours into Marx Brothers references and Cameron’s post-Kung Fu abs.
QAV America 12.2 – Self-Coups and Steel Stocks
Cam and Tony dive deep into the performance of the QAV USA portfolio, which beat the S&P 500 handsomely with a 28.5% return over the last 12 months. The highlight of the episode is a rich and surprisingly wild pulled pork on Korean steel giant POSCO (PKX), including its transformation from a state-owned dinosaur into a cash-gushing, lithium-investing modern behemoth. Cam throws in a history lesson on South Korea’s postwar dictatorship, self-coups, and assassinations, making this one of the more cinematic episodes yet. They also discuss the removal of the Z-score from the checklist, U.S. tariffs, Trump’s fluctuating relationship with Elon Musk, and why lithium is flashing a buy signal.
QAV America 11 – The Tesla of Oil Rigs
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron gives a pulled pork on Precision Drilling Corp. (PDS) — a Canadian oil services company building high-tech, remotely operated, even walking oil rigs. Think Tesla, but for shale fields. They cover the company’s innovative rig tech, impressive cash generation, and resilience through past oil busts, while also addressing its debt risks and why the market might still be gun-shy. Plus: updates on the QAV dummy portfolio (up 33% YoY), a breakdown of top performers like Willis Lease Finance (WLFC) and Foreign Trade Bank of Latin America (BLX), and a Tesla sticker that sums up the state of modern car ownership.
QAV America 10 – ORIX & The Japanese Conglomerate Discount: Value or Value Trap?
In this episode of **QAV U.S.**, Cameron and Tony dive deep into Japanese financial conglomerate **ORIX Corp (NYSE: IX / TYO: 8591)**—a sprawling, Berkshire-like beast with operations in leasing, insurance, private equity, energy, real estate, and even a baseball team. They discuss ORIX’s intriguing scandal history in Australia, its global diversification, and the tax nightmares of investing in PFIC-designated ADRs for U.S. citizens. The episode also covers the broader Japanese market dynamics (like stocks trading under book value), crude oil’s re-entry as a buy, and the nuances of applying the QAV system to ADRs with foreign currency reporting. As always, the show blends solid financial analysis with historical trivia, sarcasm, and irreverent humour.
QAV America 009 – Blame It on the Boogie
In this episode of QAV America, Cameron and Tony dissect the surprising fundamentals of Jackson Financial (NYSE: JXN) — a life insurance and annuities company that’s quietly throwing off “truckloads of cash” despite confusing accounting quirks. Cameron explores the company’s backstory (strangely has nothing to do with the Jackson 5), explains its spin-off from Prudential, and struggles to understand how interest rates and reinsurance affect its bottom line. Tony weighs in on debt management, actuarial complexity, and where annuity products fit in the spectrum of retirement options. They also touch on the controversial new U.S. tax on foreign investors (with implications for Aussie super funds), and deliver a performance update on the QAV U.S. portfolio — up a staggering 54% since inception. This episode is nerdy, weird, and funny as hell.
QAV America 008 – Huawei to Hell: Investing When the World’s Upside Down
In this week’s QAV episode, we sit down with the ever-dashing Tobias Carlisle, founder of The Acquirer’s Fund (ZIG, DEEP), author of The Acquirer’s Multiple, and deep value maverick, to dissect the state of value investing in the era of AI-driven hype. We cover the brutal cycles of deep value, AI vs. human decision-making in funds, the madness of quantum computing valuations, and how Toby’s trip to China left him unconvinced by the West’s collapse narrative. We also drill into oil, Ford ($F), and the implications of passive investing’s stranglehold on market direction. Plus, Buffett worship, civil war exit strategies, and why Americans don’t get Aussie piss-taking.
QAV America 007 – Tariffs, Towers, and the Telco Gamble in Africa
In Episode 7 of QAV America, Cameron and Tony unpack the rollercoaster of IHS Holding (NYSE: IHS), a telecom tower operator entrenched in the geopolitical chaos and economic turbulence of Nigeria and beyond. They dive into IHS’s financials, foreign exchange exposure, and growth prospects, all while navigating sovereign risk, coups, and currency collapse. Alongside, the duo discusses Trump’s new tariff threats, how macroeconomic noise distracts from fundamentals, and why ignoring the headlines might be the smartest investing strategy. It’s part deep dive, part reality check, and part investor therapy.
QAV AMERICA 006 – Blood on the Balance Sheet
In this episode of **QAV America**, Cameron and Tony dive into the volatile world of commodities, classic value investing strategies, and a surprising value opportunity in **Ford Motor Company (F)**. They unpack how iron ore and wheat commodities are back in a buy state, dig into Rich Pzena’s investing philosophy from a **Tobias Carlisle** interview, and debate whether Ford is a deep value play or a trap. With historical nods to **Cisco (CSCO)**, **GE (GE)**, and **U.S. Steel (X)**, the episode blends macro insights, personal investing war stories, and a no-BS breakdown of Ford’s financials and risks.
